Will the Democrats win the Idaho governor race in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will the Democrats win the Idaho governor race in 2026?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket.

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5¢
Bid/Ask 3/6¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $26,095.98·195d remaining
0x81cde924d7270bf4a45ba85b6d324bf26b7078a26def647277dacd3370176e24
7-day price180 snapshots · 4 regime
6¢5¢ current
Apr 94¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3557.1%
IY (No) 9.9%
Adj IY 711%
CRI 19
LAS 0.60
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)3557.1%
IY (No)9.9%
Adj IY711%
CRI19
LAS0.60

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.477
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:59:07 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:53:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x81cde924d7270bf4a45ba85b6d324bf26b7078a26def647277dacd3370176e24 yes 100

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