Jalen Suggs: 1+ threes
KXNBA3PT-26APR15ORLPHI-ORLJSUGGS4-1 · closes Apr 29, 2026 · 15 days remaining
Price
Last
0¢
Bid
84¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
4¢
24h Volume
$0
Open Interest
$0
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 474.2% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 13070.4% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 5 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 10.1% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.07 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 2076% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 7.09 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 0.5/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 12137% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
14 indicator snapshots · 5 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/15/2026, 7:41:23 AM
About this market
If Jalen Suggs records 1+ Three Pointers in the Orlando at Philadelphia professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXNBA3PT-26APR15ORLPHI-ORLJSUGGS4-1 yes 100