Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public off.... This contract trades at 23¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2027.
Also on kalshi at 93¢(Δ -70¢)
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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sf trade 0x5a4a06d086c9b4dae7bb5037cf8610dc50a045b7eedc056d2d3435dbfd684bed yes 100