Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 24% probability that Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?. This contract trades at 24¢ on Polymarket, closing August 11, 2026.

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24¢
Bid/Ask 21/26¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $8,729.585·Closes Aug 11, 2026·111d remaining
0xba8add06562a7bfd4fdd8f0a1882b5e2596540bd61c67a32359487694838f0a5
7-day price345 snapshots · 3 regime
30¢24¢ current
Apr 814¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 20¢+4¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88IY 745.9%Close-time delta 2031h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1040.3%
IY (No) 103.7%
Adj IY 824%
CRI 3
RV 651%
VR 1.97
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1040.3%
IY (No)103.7%
Adj IY824%
CRI3
RV651%
VR1.97
IAR1.1/h
Overround-0.1%
LAS0.21

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:32:43 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xba8add06562a7bfd4fdd8f0a1882b5e2596540bd61c67a32359487694838f0a5 yes 100

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