What is the current probability for "Parma Calcio at Inter: Totals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 82¢ (82% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 17, 2026. 17 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Parma Calcio at Inter: Totals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 696.3% and 6266.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Parma Calcio at Inter: Totals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Parma Calcio at Inter: Totals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 82% probability that Parma Calcio at Inter: Totals. This contract trades at 82¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026.

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82¢

Bid/Ask 75/90¢·Spread 15¢·Vol $0·OI $47.24·Closes May 17, 2026·17d remaining

KXSERIEATOTAL-26MAY03INTPAR-1

7-day price40 snapshots · 13 regime

81¢75¢ current

Apr 2625¢Apr 30

Resolution rules

If Parma Calcio and Inter collectively score more than 1.5 total goals in the Inter vs Parma Calcio professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 696.3%

IY (No) 6266.8%

Adj IY 5598%

CRI 3

RV 127%

VR 0.50

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	696.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	6266.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	5598%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	127%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	0.50	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.3/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	0.9%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.11	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

15¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 7:35:51 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/30/2026, 7:23:56 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXSERIEATOTAL-26MAY03INTPAR-1 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →