What is the current probability for "Paul George: 10+ points"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 85¢ (85% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 15, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Paul George: 10+ points"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 501.4% and 11951.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Paul George: 10+ points"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Paul George: 10+ points

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 85% probability that Paul George: 10+ points. This contract trades at 85¢ on Kalshi, closing May 15, 2026.

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85¢

Bid/Ask 83/85¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $718·OI $718·Closes May 15, 2026·15d remaining

KXNBAPTS-26APR30BOSPHI-PHIPGEORGE8-10

7-day price34 snapshots · 4 regime

83¢83¢ current

Apr 295¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

If Paul George records 10+ Points in the Boston vs Philadelphia professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 501.4%

IY (No) 11951.3%

Adj IY 11663%

CRI 5

RV 36025%

VR 15.02

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	501.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	11951.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	11663%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	36025%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	15.02	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	2.2/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	13.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.02	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

2¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 2:20:43 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/30/2026, 2:08:55 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAPTS-26APR30BOSPHI-PHIPGEORGE8-10 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →