What is the current probability for "Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh: Total Goals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 99¢ (99% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 28, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh: Total Goals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 426.5% and 16094.6% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh: Total Goals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh: Total Goals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh: Total Goals. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing April 28, 2026.

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99¢

Bid/Ask 99/100¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $5,089.22·OI $3,737.7·Closes Apr 28, 2026·14d remaining

KXNHLTOTAL-26APR27PHIPIT-3

7-day price31 snapshots · 6 regime

99¢99¢ current

Apr 273¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If over 3.5 total combined goals are scored in the Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 426.5%

IY (No) 16094.6%

Adj IY 13474%

CRI 6

RV 2506%

VR 5.24

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	426.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	16094.6%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	13474%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	6	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	2506%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	5.24	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	2.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.16	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 1:36:03 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 12:38:54 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNHLTOTAL-26APR27PHIPIT-3 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →