SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 15, 202642 days left

Will the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?

This contract is priced at 97¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 97¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

97¢
$3K volume
$12K liquidity
15% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$20K

Best sibling

BJP 1¢

Ticker

0x39f49acb…ba5a

Price history

97¢ current

+46¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 4, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

97 / 98¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
97¢30
96¢33
95¢22
95¢48
93¢54
86¢24
57¢167
52¢231
AskSize
98¢15
99¢100
99¢27
99¢17
99¢101
99¢64
100¢143
100¢66

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Puducherry, India, in April–June 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 15, 2026

Identifier

0x39f49acb…ba5a

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

27.1%
28342.1%
Adj IY
14025%
32
LAS
0.01

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