What is the current probability for "Rudy Gobert: 8+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 85¢ (85% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Rudy Gobert: 8+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 502.4% and 11976.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Rudy Gobert: 8+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Rudy Gobert: 8+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 85% probability that Rudy Gobert: 8+ rebounds. This contract trades at 85¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

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85¢

Bid/Ask 83/85¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $15·OI $15·Closes May 12, 2026·15d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR27MINDEN-MINRGOBERT27-8

7-day price39 snapshots · 5 regime

84¢83¢ current

Apr 261¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If Rudy Gobert records 8+ Rebounds in the Minnesota at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 502.4%

IY (No) 11976.2%

Adj IY 11688%

CRI 5

RV 157718%

VR 16.55

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	502.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	11976.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	11688%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	157718%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	16.55	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	12.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.02	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/27/2026, 5:19:47 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/27/2026, 5:23:16 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR27MINDEN-MINRGOBERT27-8 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →