Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
This contract is priced at 76¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 68¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 16¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$2K
Best sibling
Jim Jordan 7¢
Ticker
0x489e65bd…9e91
Market snapshot
Hakeem Jeffries in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?. The displayed quote is 76¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1K. In the Speaker of the House after the midterms? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
Hakeem Jeffries
Family rank
#1 of 6
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
76¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 3, 2027
Reported volume
$1K
Family context
6 outcomes · Speaker of the House after the midterms?
Quote range
4¢-76¢
Family leader
Hakeem Jeffries 76¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:53 AM UTC · 15m ago
Venue identifier: 0x489e65bd324cb81905753618193a9a94de063b2c3f41b8851dd9150735db9e91. Family volume: $2K.
Price history
76¢ current
−5¢Orderbook snapshot
68 / 84¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 3, 2027
Identifier
0x489e65bd…9e91
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 73¢, +3¢ versus this page.
Event family
Speaker of the House after the midterms.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Hakeem Jeffries 76¢
Current share
81%
Hakeem Jeffries
polymarket · 0x489e65bd324cb81905753618193a9a94de063b2c3f41b8851dd9150735db9e91
Jim Jordan
polymarket · 0x0eb44129ef505654afb4c4306ddfed9a12201419ac20e9ccf3688d413bc4378c
Mike Johnson
polymarket · 0xc20c64f827ee7ac4ee93de4767987a98301f942b3e0b353d79188577757817ad
Pete Aguilar
polymarket · 0x27fbd69a4b6bffa23d4e60941f8a41ac3844de3937e6b17d9aca50cd4bfccb60
Katherine Clark
polymarket · 0x040ca7d7870648356cdd145de9a6819326dc6d8c37ead4dd0a096029724617b3
Steve Scalise
polymarket · 0xa8c1b9c6b0c81352ff0d2978ed25705961dff42be6feb1d2d8773b24b0152190
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
Read 76% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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