SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 3, 2027239 days left

Will Mike Johnson be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?

This contract is priced at 11¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 18¢ spread.

Implied probability

11¢
$65 volume
$1K liquidity
4% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$2K

Best sibling

Hakeem Jeffries 76¢

Ticker

0xc20c64f8…17ad

Market snapshot

Mike Johnson in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Mike Johnson be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?. The displayed quote is 11¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $65. In the Speaker of the House after the midterms? family, this outcome ranks #3 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Mike Johnson

Family rank

#3 of 6

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

11¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 3, 2027

Reported volume

$65

Family context

6 outcomes · Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Quote range

4¢-76¢

Family leader

Hakeem Jeffries 76¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: 0xc20c64f827ee7ac4ee93de4767987a98301f942b3e0b353d79188577757817ad. Family volume: $2K.

Price history

11¢ current

4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 20¢

Polymarket
18¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
2¢50
2¢48
2¢5
0¢24K
0¢533
0¢400
AskSize
20¢11
21¢20
44¢15
44¢80
45¢38
79¢43
79¢46
79¢100

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 3, 2027

Identifier

0xc20c64f8…17ad

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1121.4%

IY (No)

20.9%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

7

RV

7048%

VR

38.22

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1121.4%
20.9%
Adj IY
0%
7
RV
7048%
VR
38.22
IAR
6.2/h
Overround
0.2%
LAS
1.50

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