SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 3, 2027239 days left

Will Katherine Clark be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?

This contract is priced at 4¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

4¢
$55 volume
$794 liquidity
3% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$2K

Best sibling

Hakeem Jeffries 76¢

Ticker

0x040ca7d7…17b3

Market snapshot

Katherine Clark in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Katherine Clark be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?. The displayed quote is 4¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $55. In the Speaker of the House after the midterms? family, this outcome ranks #5 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Katherine Clark

Family rank

#5 of 6

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 3, 2027

Reported volume

$55

Family context

6 outcomes · Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Quote range

4¢-76¢

Family leader

Hakeem Jeffries 76¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 11m ago

Venue identifier: 0x040ca7d7870648356cdd145de9a6819326dc6d8c37ead4dd0a096029724617b3. Family volume: $2K.

Price history

4¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 8¢

Polymarket
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
100¢91
0¢11K
0¢200
AskSize
8¢17
8¢20
23¢12
23¢10
25¢200
64¢15
64¢180
64¢99

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 3, 2027

Identifier

0x040ca7d7…17b3

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3670.0%

IY (No)

6.4%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

24

RV

2071%

VR

3.80

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3670.0%
6.4%
Adj IY
0%
24
RV
2071%
VR
3.80
IAR
0.9/h
Overround
0.2%
LAS
1.75

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