What is the current probability for "USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 5¢ (5% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on January 1, 2027. 254 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 4647.0% and 4.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

██░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

5¢

Bid/Ask 4/6¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $63,402.539·OI $21,544.592·Closes Jan 1, 2027·254d remaining

0x0ee36d67a622c17526f661a750ccefb0053677b30c7850b079f837121a10a145

7-day price86 snapshots · 83 regime

12¢2¢ current

Apr 151¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of USD.AI's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If USD.AI (https://usd.ai/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4647.0%

IY (No) 4.4%

Adj IY 1549%

CRI 32

Overround 1.1%

LAS 0.33

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	4647.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	4.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1549%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	32	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	1.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.33	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

2¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 12:57:31 AM

Observability mediumEvent type financial

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:53:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x0ee36d67a622c17526f661a750ccefb0053677b30c7850b079f837121a10a145 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions