↓ 1,500 · What price will Ethereum hit in 2026
↓ 1,500 is priced at 86¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 84¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?.
Price history
86¢ current
+47¢Contract brief
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Outcome
↓ 1,500
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
↑ 1,750 87¢
Range
2¢-87¢
Family volume
$5.8M
Identifier
0xcf25ccc8...9780
Jun 9, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
84¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$213
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$5.8M
Orderbook snapshot
84 / 88¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
0xcf25ccc8…9780
Event family
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5.8M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
↑ 1,750 87¢
Current share
21%
↑ 1,750
polymarket · 0xe12dfbc959ea19f6317cfc29b8140082d78b91a5fb268c67acadc2a467bbadd3
↓ 1,500
polymarket · 0xcf25ccc8360f3952139fb5e3f14cb9bb0636cb53d0e30e947321ceccab7e9780
↓ 1,000
polymarket · 0xacb33346b59a2a3770e2391b7d1b0e77d8dcdcf840a66f5fa01d28db43c4e369
↑ 3,500
polymarket · 0x42945ea5657d6f6e77969a06661b29d6f6295083d1ef3479b42efd90647c9dfc
↓ 800
polymarket · 0x717672a48c5f2938631f6e467b9a48aedb03fa380c0198704ef5acfc91721612
↑ 4,000
polymarket · 0x9775cd557a3cdba4f0478070afa399c0805761dd9aa0e7ce4435a71fed32621c
↓ 700
polymarket · 0x9edfa758bc6a6c5885119173a76bfde542641a870b747af43f0103f231e14f67
↑ 5,000
polymarket · 0x1c4fd67ab2a67f508672a69153559911244048b79a40cbe341d12f985ba90a13
↑ 4,500
polymarket · 0xa3143f9c21ecc7a9b036b4e435f48264ff72019a9e3e60dacff4e615020e7e21
↑ 5,500
polymarket · 0xb75b8c777c5fd934d7fa43d4b3a3f630981b68a362a09471f9a6a6e36c38aac8
↑ 6,000
polymarket · 0x6132cc91f7a0ad656e890b9040c159f4057f4c44359b3fb68085ec97156c918a
↑ 6,500
polymarket · 0x0f0499d1049385b1d53ffee6c42a1de7424e551c765211ff2cc6d66329f43a80
↑ 8,000
polymarket · 0xac0b4316113b50e0e667918aee72fa0eb006342245a52ab6371f3732af5733c8
↑ 7,500
polymarket · 0x4fc8725f00ba06576d7c78131e4589cc93a4e133128e8ca50c8f7ba34efeaaa1
↑ 7,000
polymarket · 0x4ee2c6081e18cc0d1f3347f6219940bda986657f1d150d17de0677ffc2104de0
↑ 10,000
polymarket · 0x201f51d2d892c41c5bfa6568a0a2f93ab2ea426e87dddfd5fb0191f7ec34a441
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
Read 86% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.