What price will Ethena hit in April?
Leader sits at 95% across 20 bound outcomes, runner-up at 60%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
↑ 80,000
Outcomes
20
winner-take-all
Runner-up
60¢
↓ 60
Spread
35pp
contested
24h volume
$88K
liquid
Closes
—
not derived
Venue
Polymarket
20 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What price
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 45,000
0x024b68…6fee
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 40,000
0x1e5564…baa2
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 50,000
0xce3c54…2c56
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 110,000
0x63eaf4…7b01
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↓ 1,000
0xacb333…e369
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 55,000
0x752fa6…8a8c
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 80,000
0x6e1fbd…5a55
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 30,000
0x903a13…69ef
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↓ 35,000
0x2745c3…a2a2
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 160,000
0x472c90…54b0
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 100,000
0xdaa486…990f
What price will Solana hit in 2026?: ↓ 60
0x0135f2…c27e
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 90,000
0xbb379a…f50e
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?: ↓ 16
0x8555a0…b7bf
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 130,000
0x885a6a…a859
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↓ 1,500
0xcf25cc…9780
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 200,000
0xac32e7…68cd
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↑ 6,000
0x6132cc…918a
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↑ 5,500
0xb75b8c…aac8
What price will Ethena hit in 2026?: ↑ 1.20
0x2073b8…70f3
What moved the line
- Apr 28↑ 1.20↑25pp6→31¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 29↑ 1.20↓24pp31→7¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 28↓ 16↑19pp19→38¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 29↑ 5,500↓17pp29→12¢ · Polymarket
- Apr 28↑ 5,500↑16pp13→29¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- Canterbury Rams vs Franklin Bulls WinnerSouthland Sharkslast 65% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 8 min ago.