SimpleFunctions

Before Feb 1, 2027 · When will Deel IPO?: Before

Before Feb 1, 2027 is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 13 inside When will Deel IPO?: Before.

Price history

24¢ current

+6¢
0¢10¢20¢
Apr 24, 2026May 12, 2026

Contract brief

If Deel confirms an IPO before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Before Feb 1, 2027

Rank

#5 of 13

Leader

Before Jun 1, 2027 34¢

Range

1¢-34¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXIPODEEL-27FEB01

May 24, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 12m ago

Implied probability

24¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 12m ago

Bid

15¢

Ask

24¢

Spread

Reported volume

$735

Family rank

#5 of 13

13 outcomes · When will Deel IPO?: Before

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

15 / 24¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
15¢506
11¢101
8¢100
3¢49
2¢946
AskSize
24¢501
29¢51
31¢100
38¢10
91¢3.4K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Deel confirms an IPO before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXIPODEEL-27FEB01

SF Signal
SF Index
409.01
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

818.0%

IY (No)

25.5%

Adj IY

409%

CRI

6

Overround

0.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

818.0%
25.5%
Adj IY
409%
6
Overround
0.6%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.