SimpleFunctions

Before Jun 1, 2026 · When will Deel IPO?: Before

Before Jun 1, 2026 is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 13 inside When will Deel IPO?: Before.

Price history

1¢ current

0¢5¢
May 24, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Deel confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Before Jun 1, 2026

Rank

#13 of 13

Leader

Before Jun 1, 2027 34¢

Range

1¢-34¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXIPODEEL-26JUN01

May 24, 2026, 10:04 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 10:04 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$51

Family rank

#13 of 13

13 outcomes · When will Deel IPO?: Before

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 2¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢8
AskSize
2¢1.3K
4¢1.0K
5¢500
7¢50
8¢1

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Deel confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXIPODEEL-26JUN01

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

high

Event type

financial

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.