When will Deel IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 12% probability that When will Deel IPO?. This contract trades at 12¢ on Kalshi, closing December 1, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $16 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 12¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $16 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 12¢ price potentially unreliable. The 1294% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of thin markets where even small positions can create outsized theoretical returns, though the 9¢ spread and neutral regime suggest genuine uncertainty rather than mispricing. With 228 days to expiry and a modest 8 cliff risk index, this appears to be a speculative position rather than an actively traded contract, so any entry should account for execution difficulty.
Resolution rules
If Deel confirms an IPO before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPODEEL-26DEC01 yes 100