When will Deel IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that When will Deel IPO?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Kalshi, closing July 1, 2026. This market is severely illiquid with only $42 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 6% price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market is severely illiquid with only $42 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 6% price potentially unreliable. The extreme 7606% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the tiny position size rather than genuine market conviction, while the 16 cliff risk index suggests binary outcome vulnerability. With 75 days to expiry and no recent trading activity, this contract appears abandoned and should be treated as a low-confidence signal for Deel's IPO probability.
Resolution rules
If Deel confirms an IPO before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPODEEL-26JUL01 yes 100