When will Olipop IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 7% probability that When will Olipop IPO?. This contract trades at 7¢ on Kalshi, closing July 1, 2026. This market displays extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $42 open interest, making the 6453.8% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable.
Analysis
This market displays extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $42 open interest, making the 6453.8% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 7¢ price reflects a 7% probability of Olipop IPO-ing within 75 days, which appears reasonable given the beverage company's private status and typical pre-IPO timelines, though the wide 7¢ spread indicates minimal market conviction. The moderate Cliff Risk Index of 13 suggests some binary event risk, but the primary concern here is illiquidity—any meaningful position would likely move the price substantially.
Resolution rules
If Olipop confirms an IPO before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPOOLIPOP-26JUL01 yes 100