When will WHOOP, Inc. officially announce an IPO?

Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that When will WHOOP, Inc. officially announce an IPO?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. This market is severely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and a wide 9¢ spread, making the 6¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning.

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4¢
Bid/Ask 4/12¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0·OI $858·Closes Jan 1, 2027·254d remaining
KXIPOWHOOP-27JAN01
7-day price19 snapshots · 2 regime
10¢4¢ current
Apr 84¢Apr 14

Analysis

4d ago

This market is severely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and a wide 9¢ spread, making the 6¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The extreme 3379% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the tiny 6% probability rather than genuine market conviction, particularly concerning given WHOOP's recent private funding rounds show no imminent IPO signals. The price has declined 33% over seven days (6¢ to 4¢), suggesting either informed selling or thin-market noise, though the 259-day timeframe and modest $872 open interest leave room for significant repricing if IPO rumors emerge.

Resolution rules

If WHOOP, Inc. confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3444.5%
IY (No) 6.0%
Adj IY 1722%
CRI 24
Overround -0.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)3444.5%
IY (No)6.0%
Adj IY1722%
CRI24
Overround-0.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
8¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:30:42 PM
Observability highEvent type financial
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:23:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXIPOWHOOP-27JAN01 yes 100

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