Will Joey Bosa play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27?

Prediction markets currently give a 50% probability that Will Joey Bosa play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27?. This contract trades at 50¢ on Polymarket, closing August 31, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 89¢ spread despite only $9.894 in open interest, suggesting minimal trading activity and unreliable pricing.

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50¢
Bid/Ask 1/98¢·Spread 97¢·Vol $0·OI $4.51·Closes Aug 31, 2026·124d remaining
0x847401adecda2d8fccfb80883f01eaeff609b75acb805693d39d3e967033634c
7-day price259 snapshots · 23 regime
72¢50¢ current
Apr 936¢Apr 28

Analysis

13d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 89¢ spread despite only $9.894 in open interest, suggesting minimal trading activity and unreliable pricing. The 313% implied yield on the "Yes" side combined with 483% realized volatility indicates high uncertainty around Bosa's 2026-27 destination, though the 46¢ price has declined slightly from 49¢ over the past week. With 137 days to resolution and an information arrival rate of 0.8 events per hour, this market remains highly speculative and illiquid for practical trading purposes.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the next team Joey Bosa officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Joey Bosa does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Joey Bosa joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Joey Bosa is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NFL and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 295.1%
IY (No) 295.1%
Adj IY 148%
CRI 1
Overround 15.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)295.1%
IY (No)295.1%
Adj IY148%
CRI1
Overround15.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Computed
4/29/2026, 7:43:38 AM
Indicators computed 4/29/2026, 7:38:22 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x847401adecda2d8fccfb80883f01eaeff609b75acb805693d39d3e967033634c yes 100

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