Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 31% probability that Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?. This contract trades at 31¢ on Polymarket, closing August 18, 2026.

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31¢
Bid/Ask 28/33¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $56·OI $13,425.738·Closes Aug 18, 2026·118d remaining
0x77396e9b7a44481197718658079006c7b1eff3e9e763007d6b4755fcbaf7c4df
7-day price870 snapshots · 2 regime
37¢31¢ current
Apr 814¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 34¢-3¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78IY 361.9%Close-time delta 1863h

Resolution rules

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 687.6%
IY (No) 138.8%
Adj IY 344%
CRI 2
Overround 3.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)687.6%
IY (No)138.8%
Adj IY344%
CRI2
Overround3.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:25:50 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x77396e9b7a44481197718658079006c7b1eff3e9e763007d6b4755fcbaf7c4df yes 100

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