Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 14% probability that Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?. This contract trades at 14¢ on Polymarket, closing August 18, 2026.

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14¢
Bid/Ask 12/15¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $0·OI $13,803.62·Closes Aug 18, 2026·118d remaining
0xd4e5831d2c951273ae9944cc3972eb09dc257a57d97ff5954ff2a443a194f318
7-day price8 snapshots · 3 regime
14¢14¢ current
Apr 1013¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1900.6%
IY (No) 50.4%
Adj IY 950%
CRI 6
Overround 3.3%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1900.6%
IY (No)50.4%
Adj IY950%
CRI6
Overround3.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:48:24 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:38:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xd4e5831d2c951273ae9944cc3972eb09dc257a57d97ff5954ff2a443a194f318 yes 100

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