Dave Bronson · Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary
Dave Bronson is priced at 35¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 32¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?.
Price history
35¢ current
−5¢Contract brief
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Outcome
Dave Bronson
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Tom Begich 95¢
Range
3¢-95¢
Family volume
$198K
Identifier
0x7fdfdf30...a762
Jun 8, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
32¢
Ask
36¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Family volume
$198K
Orderbook snapshot
32 / 36¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Identifier
0x7fdfdf30…a762
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 33¢, +2¢ versus this page.
Event family
Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$198K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Tom Begich 95¢
Current share
1%
Tom Begich
polymarket · 0xe96f816325f6c2a18640183af71d976e7a59fae32ed47720168874066b2f2ae8
Bernadette Wilson
polymarket · 0x39dc2c86efd159ae5b0fddc70b0b15af308993353eff43b5725bf6a0e473ca83
Matt Claman
polymarket · 0x4427ce55f5fc0cc00f2708f914c585442bce7eede689d5daec4671449dc25f8d
Destry J. Payne Sr.
polymarket · 0xb8e253d3ef180de6596a972eeebe1e9f9595a2eab051b062355a956a2051b878
Dave Bronson
polymarket · 0x7fdfdf3089f2926e189998489f530a1a4b3f90ee8d2d52f81d8774757f8ca762
Click Bishop
polymarket · 0x3342ecddb31d790a0aa690a12b3ef674d0c5014fcd5c3a50afb828b30f982170
Treg Taylor
polymarket · 0x77396e9b7a44481197718658079006c7b1eff3e9e763007d6b4755fcbaf7c4df
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
polymarket · 0xdfa9c276f883ae7539684ceaf7289ff3db4b83003afb1b8f561f0a569368ff24
Matt Heilala
polymarket · 0x24853c19d734365752c0080d4c571619d025f51bb87f6a5b0571c1af28d070fc
James Parkin
polymarket · 0xd7afa8f3868459d2c64479934411e90a9a3ed1a1961dc577f4d9bd05549bec6e
Adam Crum
polymarket · 0x73ed39e6ef4b022710fcfa177b343e68d057045833ce53a322062de48291fe91
Edna DeVries
polymarket · 0xe70dc5791fd703624bdd33fbdd6c4374bf51723c4c5e2fb88ee87857dc72d762
Shelley Hughes
polymarket · 0xc9fd5b3819b1cb07c59fed27c7566e80f5ea6892a34767b5cad49665d7d27e4d
Bruce Walden
polymarket · 0x1b752eca1cb98032be2d6b30c0e7cb7d7c9c960e50e7ee12b44565ae631fe7ef
Hank Kroll
polymarket · 0xd4e5831d2c951273ae9944cc3972eb09dc257a57d97ff5954ff2a443a194f318
Nancy Dahlstrom
polymarket · 0xc42165d729164b01fe0f147307731c8d1cfb0c3e7db1920a83dbf04f751c1127
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
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