Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026
Sean Combs is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026.
Price history
38¢ current
+36¢Contract brief
If Sean Combs is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein released before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Sean Combs
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Donald Trump 81¢
Range
16¢-81¢
Family volume
$51
Identifier
KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-SCOM
May 25, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
36¢
Ask
42¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$51
Orderbook snapshot
36 / 42¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Sean Combs is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein released before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-SCOM
Event family
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$51
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Donald Trump 81¢
Current share
0%
Donald Trump
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-DJT
Hillary Clinton
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-HCLI
Bill Gates
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-BGAT
Bill Clinton
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-BCLI
Joe Biden
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-JBID
Sean Combs
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-SCOM
Alec Baldwin
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-ABAL
Kevin Spacey
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-KSPA
Prince Andrew
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-PAND
Barack Obama
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-BOBA
Stephen Hawking
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-SHAW
Ehud Barak
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-EBAR
Kamala Harris
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-KHAR
Leonardo DiCaprio
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-LDIC
Michael Jackson
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-MJAC
Naomi Campbell
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-NCAM
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.