SimpleFunctions

Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026

Sean Combs is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026.

Price history

38¢ current

+36¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 26, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Sean Combs is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein released before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Sean Combs

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

Donald Trump 81¢

Range

16¢-81¢

Family volume

$51

Identifier

KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-SCOM

May 25, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

38¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

36¢

Ask

42¢

Spread

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$51

Orderbook snapshot

36 / 42¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
36¢7
35¢32
34¢100
32¢200
29¢68
AskSize
42¢111
43¢215
49¢62
75¢39
76¢474

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Sean Combs is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein released before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-SCOM

SF Signal
SF Index
293.43
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

293.4%

IY (No)

92.8%

Adj IY

293%

CRI

2

RV

9878%

VR

11.40

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

293.4%
92.8%
Adj IY
293%
2
RV
9878%
VR
11.40
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
5.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.