SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026?

This contract is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 96¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Implied probability

45¢
$2K volume
$250 liquidity
797% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$227

Best sibling

Kevin Spacey 45¢

Ticker

KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-ABAL

Price history

45¢ current

+28¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

96 / 96¢

Kalshi
0¢ spread
BidSize
43¢215
42¢290
40¢500
31¢16
AskSize
96¢2.5K
96¢3.6K
97¢2.5K
99¢2.6K
99¢48

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Alec Baldwin is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein released before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-ABAL

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6.3%

IY (No)

3610.6%

Adj IY

1805%

CRI

24

Overround

3.0%

LAS

0.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

6.3%
3610.6%
Adj IY
1805%
24
Overround
3.0%
LAS
0.00

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

Blogmacro

Federal Reserve Interest Rates 2026: What Inflation Prediction Markets Are Really Pricing In

Deep‑dive on Federal Reserve interest rates in 2026: SEP projections, inflation and unemployment paths, QT endgame, global central bank context, and what prediction markets are pricing for Fed cuts, inflation, and recession—plus actionable trading setups.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index