Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026
Bill Clinton is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026.
Price history
50¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
If Bill Clinton is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein released before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Bill Clinton
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Donald Trump 56¢
Range
1¢-56¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-BCLI
Sep 14, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 33m ago
Implied probability
Bid
37¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
13¢
24h volume
$97
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
37 / 50¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bill Clinton is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein released before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-BCLI
Event family
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Donald Trump 56¢
Current share
1%
Donald Trump
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-DJT
Prince Andrew
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-PAND
Bill Clinton
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-BCLI
Barack Obama
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-BOBA
Bill Gates
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-BGAT
Ehud Barak
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-EBAR
Kevin Spacey
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-KSPA
Joe Biden
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-JBID
Naomi Campbell
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-NCAM
Hillary Clinton
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-HCLI
Alec Baldwin
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-ABAL
Sean Combs
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-SCOM
Leonardo DiCaprio
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-LDIC
Rupert Murdoch
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-RMUR
Michael Jackson
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-MJAC
Kamala Harris
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-KHAR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.