SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026?

This contract is priced at 75¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

75¢
$2K volume
$200 liquidity
995% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$227

Best sibling

Alec Baldwin 96¢

Ticker

KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-BCLI

Price history

75¢ current

+49¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 1, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

44 / 51¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
44¢2.1K
43¢251
35¢1.5K
32¢16
20¢16
AskSize
51¢73
52¢161
64¢16
67¢17
68¢500

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Bill Clinton is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein released before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-BCLI

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

191.5%

IY (No)

118.2%

Adj IY

81%

CRI

1

Overround

3.0%

LAS

0.16

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

political

Full indicator table

191.5%
118.2%
Adj IY
81%
1
Overround
3.0%
LAS
0.16

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