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Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026

Prince Andrew is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 58¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026.

Price history

58¢ current

+35¢
25¢50¢75¢
May 25, 2026Jun 18, 2026

Contract brief

If Prince Andrew is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein released before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Prince Andrew

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Prince Andrew 58¢

Range

11¢-58¢

Family volume

$136

Identifier

KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-PAND

Jun 23, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

58¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

58¢

Ask

59¢

Spread

24h volume

$1

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$136

Orderbook snapshot

58 / 59¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
58¢567
48¢84
47¢500
40¢13
39¢966
AskSize
59¢652
75¢503
91¢52
92¢30
92¢2.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Prince Andrew is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein released before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-PAND

SF Signal
SF Index
131.30
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

137.7%

IY (No)

262.6%

Adj IY

131%

CRI

1

Overround

5.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

137.7%
262.6%
Adj IY
131%
1
Overround
5.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.