Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026
Prince Andrew is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 58¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026.
Price history
58¢ current
+35¢Contract brief
If Prince Andrew is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein released before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Prince Andrew
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Prince Andrew 58¢
Range
11¢-58¢
Family volume
$136
Identifier
KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-PAND
Jun 23, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
58¢
Ask
59¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$136
Orderbook snapshot
58 / 59¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Prince Andrew is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein released before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-PAND
Event family
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$136
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Prince Andrew 58¢
Current share
1%
Donald Trump
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-DJT
Prince Andrew
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-PAND
Bill Clinton
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-BCLI
Joe Biden
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-JBID
Hillary Clinton
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-HCLI
Bill Gates
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-BGAT
Kevin Spacey
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-KSPA
Ehud Barak
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-EBAR
Leonardo DiCaprio
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-LDIC
Stephen Hawking
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-SHAW
Kamala Harris
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-KHAR
Michael Jackson
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-MJAC
Rupert Murdoch
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-RMUR
Alec Baldwin
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-ABAL
Barack Obama
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-BOBA
Naomi Campbell
kalshi · KXEPSTEINLIST-27JAN-NCAM
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.