Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

The 21¢ price reflects a modest 21% death probability for Annie January, but the extreme 3,839% implied yield on the "Yes" side signals severe mispricing—likely driven by minimal liquidity ($2,509 open interest) and low trading volume ($9.62 in 24 hours). With Season 5's finale occurring exactly on the May 20 resolution date and realized volatility at 712%, this thin market has experienced substantial price swings (rising from 12¢ to 21¢ over seven days), suggesting information arrival is driving speculation rather than fundamental conviction about the character's fate.

Resolution rules

"The Boys: Season 5" is scheduled to air weekly, beginning April 8, 2026, and ending with the finale on May 20, 2026 This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "The Boys: Season 5". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "The Boys: Season 5" will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead before "The Boys: Season 5" begins will not count toward this market’s resolution. If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "The Boys: Season 5" will qualify. Only events depicted in official "The Boys: Season 5" episodes will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the final episode of "The Boys: Season 5" is released.

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