SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 20, 202616 days left

Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

This contract is priced at 40¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 37¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

40¢
$24K volume
$1K liquidity
9% of event volume

Event outcomes

13

Family volume

$256K

Best sibling

Homelander 84¢

Ticker

0x56e3a277…a0ab

Price history

40¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

37 / 42¢

Polymarket
5¢ spread
BidSize
37¢74
31¢5
30¢10
27¢9
22¢23
21¢82
20¢150
19¢100
AskSize
42¢8
43¢108
44¢20
45¢28
54¢19
55¢305
73¢300
74¢346

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

"The Boys: Season 5" is scheduled to air weekly, beginning April 8, 2026, and ending with the finale on May 20, 2026 This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "The Boys: Season 5". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "The Boys: Season 5" will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead before "The Boys: Season 5" begins will not count toward this market’s resolution. If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "The Boys: Season 5" will qualify. Only events depicted in official "The Boys: Season 5" episodes will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the final episode of "The Boys: Season 5" is released.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 20, 2026

Identifier

0x56e3a277…a0ab

Event family

Who will die in The Boys: Season 5.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$256K

Outcomes

13

Highest price

Firecracker 99¢

Current share

9%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3342.5%

IY (No)

1485.6%

Adj IY

1170%

CRI

2

Overround

4.9%

LAS

0.30

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

3342.5%
1485.6%
Adj IY
1170%
2
Overround
4.9%
LAS
0.30

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