What is the current probability for "Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 4¢ (4% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on December 31, 2026. 245 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 3580.2% and 6.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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4¢

Bid/Ask 3/4¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $12,671.024·Closes Dec 31, 2026·245d remaining

0xe05a7b7f94ccae169cb558e3c17b24f0747dcf0f0691ae8f46b0dc495647b9b0

7-day price34 snapshots · 29 regime

50¢4¢ current

Apr 243¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3580.2%

IY (No) 6.2%

Adj IY 1343%

CRI 24

Overround 6.1%

LAS 0.25

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	3580.2%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	6.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1343%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	24	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	6.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.25	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.409

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 7:51:38 AM

Observability mediumEvent type political

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/30/2026, 7:38:56 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xe05a7b7f94ccae169cb558e3c17b24f0747dcf0f0691ae8f46b0dc495647b9b0 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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