Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?
This contract is priced at 8¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 9¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$215K
Best sibling
Elon Musk 3¢
Ticker
0x6bc658b5…277b
Market snapshot
Himself in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?. The displayed quote is 8¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $4K. In the Who will Trump pardon before 2027? family, this outcome ranks #8 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC.
Outcome
Himself
Family rank
#8 of 16
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
8¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
Reported volume
$4K
Family context
16 outcomes · Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Quote range
3¢-38¢
Family leader
Edward Snowden 38¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 3m ago
Venue identifier: 0x6bc658b5fdfded234356308d971d7b93e2e92c48eff32144bc163b4a3da7277b. Family volume: $215K.
Price history
8¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
3 / 12¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x6bc658b5…277b
Event family
Who will Trump pardon before 2027.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$215K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Edward Snowden 38¢
Current share
2%
Himself
polymarket · 0x6bc658b5fdfded234356308d971d7b93e2e92c48eff32144bc163b4a3da7277b
Elon Musk
polymarket · 0x63c7e65d0324c084b74b62f5c9109bd0b02570c6833cde0b959c911b6eb6be8b
Sam Bankman-Fried
polymarket · 0x2c41ac56695e28bd7bca361bffde6977e6211406e19fb26ec98037661f23c35f
Martin Shkreli
polymarket · 0xe243748396163f096042bb0c7ea137a864f5259b9b906ce1656ec8d4bd3c64d0
Derek Chauvin
polymarket · 0x354d0b717b2f83b620f34be00890b6dd4e93a9b7c7ad71d435db77eff868b91c
Do Kwon
polymarket · 0xe3756fe9c41dd786bac8d5092c783e02463f5d5de99285f1f5d0fd47df02f76a
Ryan Salame
polymarket · 0xbde10fc985687f35034b62df6cd50adbe835dcf08a36a93c4c695ed75777e32c
Ghislaine Maxwell
polymarket · 0xef145ca5ba752b022f71b4d1f7abeb6c311cd537c0d1e64f3682ca90b2412dbf
Keonne Rodriguez
polymarket · 0x54701be7ec2f8ae91308ef7ca1e28720f74664e3d3dc446ceef76e86a785e579
Diddy
polymarket · 0xe16cd141288e4f14414608210a92225704d5d0a90ef79fd732b83af5c47623e4
Steve Bannon
polymarket · 0x4a869db910b4f8e3dc8e4b562889939b2ad272c8cef5914eadeb12fb6b979ad2
Nicolas Maduro
polymarket · 0x1b53ad65dae4809d3d1097bbcd6be1f44ba5cddd47be9ce21896722c7d79681a
Young Thug
polymarket · 0xaf3f06b4f26051357aa7086b5e58ef3d56a600a2da3122b3f8458077b80efec7
Hunter Biden
polymarket · 0xcd4a8e578de8204cf31c57e509e507c81462b10ef0840d0495c737bd047edabb
Edward Snowden
polymarket · 0x07d4883660832eb7b64be2f4dba5870eb3ff4ae764e79893d6f574eaa075f7cf
Julian Assange
polymarket · 0x507746b101b9b031567da9c5cb1bf714dac808299708020fc91a9fa6a6032978
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.477
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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