Alabama · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26
Alabama is priced at 42¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26.
Price history
42¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Alabama is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Alabama
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Notre Dame 81¢
Range
1¢-81¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ALA
Jun 28, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
39¢
Ask
44¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$119
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26
Closes
Dec 29, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
39 / 44¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alabama is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 29, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ALA
Event family
KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Notre Dame 81¢
Current share
8%
Notre Dame
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ND
Texas
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-TEX
LSU
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-LSU
Alabama
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ALA
Oklahoma
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-OKLA
Ole Miss
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-MISS
Texas A&M
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-TXAM
Penn St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-PSU
Washington
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-WASH
Tennessee
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-TENN
South Carolina
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-SCAR
Virginia
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-UVA
California
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-CAL
Arizona
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ARIZ
Arizona St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ASU
Arkansas
kalshi · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ARK
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.