SimpleFunctions

Oklahoma · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26

Oklahoma is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26.

Price history

36¢ current

+3¢
30¢40¢
May 22, 2026Jun 21, 2026

Contract brief

If Oklahoma is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Oklahoma

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Indiana 69¢

Range

1¢-69¢

Family volume

$436

Identifier

KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-OKLA

Jun 21, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

36¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 21, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

32¢

Ask

36¢

Spread

24h volume

$53

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Family volume

$436

Orderbook snapshot

32 / 36¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
32¢6
31¢20
29¢409
26¢25
24¢50
AskSize
36¢3.6K
40¢25
42¢1.1K
44¢100
58¢290

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Oklahoma is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-OKLA

SF Signal
SF Index
406.85
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

406.9%

IY (No)

90.1%

Adj IY

407%

CRI

2

RV

489%

VR

2.34

Regime

neutral

Score

0.432

Observability

medium

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

406.9%
90.1%
Adj IY
407%
2
RV
489%
VR
2.34
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
9.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.