SimpleFunctions

Indiana · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26

Indiana is priced at 75¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 69¢ bid, 75¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26.

Price history

75¢ current

+5¢
70¢
Jun 7, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Indiana is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Indiana

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Indiana 69¢

Range

1¢-69¢

Family volume

$885

Identifier

KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-IND

Jun 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

75¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

69¢

Ask

75¢

Spread

Reported volume

$4K

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Family volume

$885

Orderbook snapshot

69 / 75¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
69¢5
68¢108
67¢2.5K
66¢25
64¢50
AskSize
75¢190
76¢400
77¢14
78¢25
80¢250

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Indiana is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-IND

SF Signal
SF Index
217.52
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

87.8%

IY (No)

435.0%

Adj IY

218%

CRI

2

Overround

9.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

87.8%
435.0%
Adj IY
218%
2
Overround
9.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.