SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 29, 2026234 days left

Will Michigan qualify for the College Football Playoffs?

This contract is priced at 34¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 9¢ spread.

Implied probability

34¢
$2K volume
$1K liquidity
168% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$926

Best sibling

Notre Dame 78¢

Ticker

KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-MICH

Market snapshot

Michigan in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Michigan qualify for the College Football Playoffs?. The displayed quote is 34¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $7. In the KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26 family, this outcome ranks #13 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Michigan

Family rank

#13 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

34¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 29, 2026

24h volume

$7

Family context

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26

Quote range

7¢-78¢

Family leader

Notre Dame 78¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-MICH. Family volume: $926.

Price history

34¢ current

6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

26 / 35¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
26¢15
25¢80
24¢40
23¢80
22¢235
AskSize
35¢438
36¢25
37¢50
38¢100
41¢1.2K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Michigan is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-MICH

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

443.4%

IY (No)

54.7%

Adj IY

145%

CRI

3

Overround

9.8%

LAS

0.35

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

443.4%
54.7%
Adj IY
145%
3
Overround
9.8%
LAS
0.35

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