Will Annie Andrews be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in South Carolina?
Prediction markets currently give a 94% probability that Will Annie Andrews be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in South Carolina?. This contract trades at 94¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2026. This market reflects extremely high confidence in Andrews' nomination at 94¢, though the zero 24-hour volume and modest $1,848 open interest suggest minimal liquidity and conviction behind the price.
Analysis
This market reflects extremely high confidence in Andrews' nomination at 94¢, though the zero 24-hour volume and modest $1,848 open interest suggest minimal liquidity and conviction behind the price. The asymmetric implied yields—20.2% for Yes versus 1637.3% for No—indicate the market is pricing in a heavily favored outcome, though the 9 Cliff Risk Index warns of potential sharp repricing if circumstances change before the November 2026 close. The recent 2-cent appreciation from 88¢ over seven days is modest movement for such a long timeframe, suggesting the market has already settled into a stable view of Andrews' nomination prospects.
Also on polymarket at 91¢(Δ +3¢)
Resolution rules
If Annie Andrews wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate South Carolina Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXSENATESCD-26-AAND yes 100