Will Babydoll be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 18% probability that Will Babydoll be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that .... This contract trades at 18¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 1036.9% implied yield on the Yes side.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 1036.9% implied yield on the Yes side. The 13¢ spread is unusually wide relative to the price, and the high cliff risk index of 7 suggests significant uncertainty around resolution mechanics or timing. With 258 days to expiry and no trading activity, this appears to be a newly listed or abandoned contract that would require substantial conviction and size to move meaningfully.
Resolution rules
If Babydoll is the #3 most streamed Song on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPSONGTHIRD-26-BAB yes 100