Will Bernie Sanders endorse Antonio Delgado in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election before Nov 3, 2026?

5¢
Bid/Ask 5/6¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $1,040·Closes Nov 3, 2026·200d remaining
KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-ADEL

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market is severely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,040 open interest, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable despite the tight 1¢ spread. The implied yield of 3,456% for a Yes position reflects extreme mispricing typical of low-liquidity prediction markets, suggesting the true probability of Sanders endorsing Delgado may be substantially higher than the 5% implied price. With 201 days until expiration and a modest 7-day price increase from 4¢ to 5¢, this market lacks sufficient trading activity to establish confidence in fair value.

Resolution rules

If Bernie Sanders publicly endorses Antonio Delgado in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3465.4%
IY (No) 9.6%
Adj IY 1733%
CRI 19
Overround 3.7%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)3465.4%
IY (No)9.6%
Adj IY1733%
CRI19
Overround3.7%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 12:20:47 PM
Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 12:08:51 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-ADEL yes 100

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