Will Bernie Sanders endorse Antonio Delgado in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election before Nov 3, 2026?
5¢
Bid/Ask 5/6¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $1,040·Closes Nov 3, 2026·200d remaining
KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-ADEL
Analysis
AI-generated · updated dailyThis market is severely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,040 open interest, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable despite the tight 1¢ spread. The implied yield of 3,456% for a Yes position reflects extreme mispricing typical of low-liquidity prediction markets, suggesting the true probability of Sanders endorsing Delgado may be substantially higher than the 5% implied price. With 201 days until expiration and a modest 7-day price increase from 4¢ to 5¢, this market lacks sufficient trading activity to establish confidence in fair value.
Resolution rules
If Bernie Sanders publicly endorses Antonio Delgado in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 12:20:47 PM
Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 12:08:51 PM
Trade
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sf trade KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-ADEL yes 100