James Talarico · Will Bernie Sanders endorse
James Talarico is priced at 81¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 82¢ bid, 87¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside Will Bernie Sanders endorse.
Price history
81¢ current
+22¢Contract brief
If Bernie Sanders publicly endorses James Talarico in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
James Talarico
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Cori Bush 90¢
Range
1¢-90¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-JTAL
Jun 4, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
82¢
Ask
87¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$26
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Bernie Sanders endorse
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
82 / 87¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bernie Sanders publicly endorses James Talarico in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-JTAL
Event family
Will Bernie Sanders endorse.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Cori Bush 90¢
Current share
2%
Cori Bush
kalshi · KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-CBUS
James Talarico
kalshi · KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-JTAL
Gina Hinojosa
kalshi · KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-GHIN
Charles Booker
kalshi · KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-CBOO
Dan Osborn
kalshi · KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-DOSB
Nithya Raman
kalshi · KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-NRAM
Josh Turek
kalshi · KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-JTUR
Juliana Stratton
kalshi · KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-JSTR
Mary Peltola
kalshi · KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-MPEL
Xavier Becerra
kalshi · KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-XBEC
Tom Steyer
kalshi · KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-TSTE
Antonio Delgado
kalshi · KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-ADEL
Alan Grayson
kalshi · KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-AGRA
Zach Wahls
kalshi · KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-ZWAH
Cameron Kasky
kalshi · KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-CKAS
Omar Fateh
kalshi · KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-OFAT
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.