SimpleFunctions

Charles Booker · Will Bernie Sanders endorse

Charles Booker is priced at 72¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 71¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside Will Bernie Sanders endorse.

Price history

72¢ current

5¢
50¢75¢
May 6, 2026May 31, 2026

Contract brief

If Bernie Sanders publicly endorses Charles Booker in the 2026 United States Senate election in Kentucky before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Charles Booker

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Cori Bush 90¢

Range

1¢-90¢

Family volume

$537

Identifier

KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-CBOO

Jun 5, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 26m ago

Implied probability

72¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 5, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 26m ago

Bid

71¢

Ask

77¢

Spread

Reported volume

$12K

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · Will Bernie Sanders endorse

Closes

Nov 3, 2026

Family volume

$537

Orderbook snapshot

71 / 77¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
71¢5
70¢100
69¢200
45¢230
42¢100
AskSize
77¢5
78¢120
80¢200
97¢47
97¢757

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bernie Sanders publicly endorses Charles Booker in the 2026 United States Senate election in Kentucky before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2026

Identifier

KXBERNIEENDORSE-26NOV03-CBOO

SF Signal
SF Index
295.02
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

98.4%

IY (No)

590.0%

Adj IY

295%

CRI

2

Overround

4.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

98.4%
590.0%
Adj IY
295%
2
Overround
4.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.