Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
This contract is priced at 13¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 12¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$62.0M
Best sibling
by June 30, 2026 1¢
Ticker
0xecd961f6…ad55
Price history
13¢ current
−38¢Orderbook snapshot
12 / 13¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
0xecd961f6…ad55
Event family
Crypto.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$62.0M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Bitcoin hits $1m 49¢
Current share
3%
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first
polymarket · 0xecd961f60dad9a8f4f25f717bc6771e09cddf3077657aafc67a6a528c92aad55
by June 30, 2026
polymarket · 0xa0f4c4924ea1a8b410b4ce821c2a9955fad21a1b19bdcfde90816732278b3dd5
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion : Colorado Avalanche
polymarket · 0xf8f63bb47b2a7c2e0c1be3cedf4075079b11c07476d76a9469065b0c4791961a
↑ 250,000
polymarket · 0x6fefc0438c7598b23531457c8c60541990d0786bd4bd9dfc3eabc8d95c291092
↓ 15,000
polymarket · 0xa885bfe10688056a9d0f4e9a1523bfa18f66fda065f0400d714ba54776083713
Bitcoin hits $1m
polymarket · 0xbb57ccf5853a85487bc3d83d04d669310d28c6c810758953b9d9b91d1aee89d2
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026
polymarket · 0x3b0107a80edd066fe987784d7ab5963c177888433efbec10689951c17320606c
↓ 55,000
polymarket · 0x752fa61c93f16c4b15e85b0bd438d9c684176b0ea7b319a84c8aca34616e8a8c
↓ 45,000
polymarket · 0x024b68f77bfc019341ee3db8f57c103334e4b9430bba4746d8c94aafd8b36fee
↓ 35,000
polymarket · 0x2745c38ff0617cb345c1d2df19b4f74ea777508e07411e88eeb6ab3affcda2a2
↑ 200,000
polymarket · 0xac32e73aa9e0dae801d88d4f81efd2ef3fa0f04b815f3a0e74426f0762e668cd
↑ 100,000
polymarket · 0xdaa4866bae18be58c5a79d2aeeffd035ec78f1bb49dbd88f72993997778a990f
June 30, 2026
polymarket · 0x337ed4a919995ef9ba9d705b319055633a5dfdcb3ab97cf610009a7d11a9ade4
↑ 500,000
polymarket · 0xf3519e50e99fa353443d45060813453b1b717e463b5b76c306e85e8f5b026116
June 30, 2026
polymarket · 0x8e7a03cb1970e2ad6533b01892403516b6b3f5b5fa90ed7d104c28b27e40ba00
↑ 1,000,000
polymarket · 0xa7d7ed69cfd6107e5e005556730dcf45727c1cdd1001f0378f5e471526181c47
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
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