Will BNB trimmed mean be above $650.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026?

78¢
Bid/Ask 6/68¢·Spread 62¢·Vol $0·OI $78.12·Closes May 1, 2026·11d remaining
KXBNBMAXMON-BNB-26APR30-65000
7-day price630 snapshots · 5 regime
96¢4¢Apr 8Apr 20

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with only $78.12 open interest, zero 24-hour volume, and a massive 62¢ spread despite the 78¢ Yes price. The implied yield of 61,847% on the Yes side is nonsensical given the 11-day timeframe, reflecting the breakdown in rational pricing when liquidity dries up. Most critically, the price has collapsed 87% over seven days (from 47¢ to 6¢), suggesting either a sharp reassessment of BNB's ability to reach $650 or market abandonment, making this contract unreliable for directional insight.

Resolution rules

If the price of BNB after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026 is ever above $ 650.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 63987.8%
IY (No) 177.3%
Adj IY 31994%
CRI 19
Overround -0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)63987.8%
IY (No)177.3%
Adj IY31994%
CRI19
Overround-0.1%

Regime

Label
taker
Score
0.636
Spread
62¢
Computed
4/20/2026, 7:56:59 AM
Observability directEvent type financial
Indicators computed 4/20/2026, 7:53:41 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXBNBMAXMON-BNB-26APR30-65000 yes 100

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