Will Brooke Pinto be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district?
Prediction markets currently give a 28% probability that Will Brooke Pinto be the Democratic nominee for Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Co.... This contract trades at 28¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2026. This market shows significant illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $2,512.85 open interest, and the 7¢ spread reflects thin order books typical of low-activity political prediction markets.
Analysis
This market shows significant illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $2,512.85 open interest, and the 7¢ spread reflects thin order books typical of low-activity political prediction markets. The price has declined sharply from 39¢ to 50¢ over seven days, suggesting recent buying interest or shifting sentiment toward Pinto's nomination chances, though the 201-day timeframe to the 2026 Democratic primary provides ample time for further developments. The asymmetric implied yields (284.6% for Yes vs. 116.3% for No) indicate the market is pricing in meaningful uncertainty, with the Yes side offering substantially higher risk-adjusted returns despite the even 50-50 odds.
Resolution rules
If Brooke Pinto wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Delegate to the U.S. House of Representatives from the District of Columbia's at-large district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXDCDELD-26-DPIN yes 100