Will Djed Spence be in the England World Cup final squad?
Prediction markets currently give a 46% probability that Will Djed Spence be in the England World Cup final squad?. This contract trades at 46¢ on Kalshi, closing June 18, 2026. The 49¢ price reflects genuine uncertainty around Spence's selection prospects, with the 711% implied yield on the Yes side suggesting meaningful upside if he makes the squad, though the thin $138.64 open interest indicates limited conviction among traders.
Analysis
The 49¢ price reflects genuine uncertainty around Spence's selection prospects, with the 711% implied yield on the Yes side suggesting meaningful upside if he makes the squad, though the thin $138.64 open interest indicates limited conviction among traders. The 10¢ spread and recent downward drift from 46¢ over seven days hint at slight bearish sentiment, possibly reflecting competition for fullback spots or injury concerns. With 60 days to expiry and neutral regime conditions, this market lacks the liquidity and price momentum typical of high-confidence predictions, making it vulnerable to sharp moves on roster news.
Resolution rules
If Djed Spence is selected for the final squad for the England national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-DSPE yes 100