Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating above 44% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub
Above 44% is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 8 inside Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above.
Price history
20¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is above 44%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 44%
Rank
#2 of 8
Leader
Above 43% 22¢
Range
3¢-22¢
Family volume
$359
Identifier
KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-44
Jun 19, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$22K
Family rank
#2 of 8
8 outcomes · Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above
Closes
Jan 7, 2027
Family volume
$359
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 20¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is above 44%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 7, 2027
Identifier
KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-44
Event family
Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$359
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Above 43% 22¢
Current share
0%
Above 43%
kalshi · KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-43
Above 44%
kalshi · KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-44
Above 45%
kalshi · KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-45
Above 46%
kalshi · KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-46
Above 47%
kalshi · KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-47
Above 48%
kalshi · KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-48
Above 49%
kalshi · KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-49
Above 50%
kalshi · KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-50
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.