What is the current probability for "Will Jannik Sinner win the Sinner vs Jodar: Quarterfinal match?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 89¢ (89% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 13, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Jannik Sinner win the Sinner vs Jodar: Quarterfinal match?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 694.4% and 9826.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Jannik Sinner win the Sinner vs Jodar: Quarterfinal match?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Jannik Sinner win the Sinner vs Jodar: Quarterfinal match?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 89% probability that Will Jannik Sinner win the Sinner vs Jodar: Quarterfinal match?. This contract trades at 89¢ on Kalshi, closing May 13, 2026.

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89¢

Bid/Ask 88/90¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $1,419,513.05·OI $1,351,986.97·Closes May 13, 2026·14d remaining

KXATPMATCH-26APR29SINJOD-SIN

7-day price20 snapshots · 16 regime

93¢86¢ current

Apr 2879¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

If Jannik Sinner wins the Sinner vs Jodar professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 694.4%

IY (No) 9826.8%

Adj IY 9702%

CRI 4

RV 1869%

VR 8.07

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	694.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	9826.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	9702%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1869%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	8.07	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.8/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.01	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

2¢

Computed

4/29/2026, 2:46:50 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/29/2026, 2:38:27 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXATPMATCH-26APR29SINJOD-SIN yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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