What is the current probability for "Will John Ternus visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 37¢ (37% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 1, 2027. 243 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will John Ternus visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 319.1% and 70.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will John Ternus visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Will John Ternus visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

37¢

$11K volume

$4K liquidity

1983% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$547

Best sibling

Xi Jinping 58¢

Ticker

KXWHVISIT-27-JTER

Price history

37¢ current

−34¢

Apr 20, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

32 / 37¢

Kalshi

5¢ spread

BidSize

32¢3

31¢20

30¢400

28¢200

19¢50

AskSize

37¢133

38¢100

39¢350

43¢160

50¢865

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If John Ternus visits the White House after Apr 20, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXWHVISIT-27-JTER

Event family

KXWHVISIT-27.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$547

Outcomes

Highest price

Elon Musk 74¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

John Ternus

kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-JTER

32¢$2$20.2

Xi Jinping

kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-XJIN