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KalshiDec 31, 2026236 days left

Will Jorge Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

This contract is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

3¢
$31K volume
$22K liquidity
843% of event volume

Event outcomes

13

Family volume

$4K

Best sibling

María Corina Machado 15¢

Ticker

KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-JROD

Market snapshot

Jorge Rodríguez in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Jorge Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 3¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $31K. In the KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31 family, this outcome ranks #5 of 13 by current quote across 13 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Jorge Rodríguez

Family rank

#5 of 13

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

Reported volume

$31K

Family context

13 outcomes · KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31

Quote range

1¢-63¢

Family leader

Nicolás Maduro 63¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 8m ago

Venue identifier: KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-JROD. Family volume: $4K.

Price history

3¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 16, 2026May 5, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 4¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢345
3¢500
3¢390
3¢400
2¢200
AskSize
4¢40
4¢500
5¢41
9¢50
10¢500

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Jorge Rodríguez officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-JROD

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4992.7%

IY (No)

4.8%

Adj IY

2496%

CRI

32

Overround

0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

political

Full indicator table

4992.7%
4.8%
Adj IY
2496%
32
Overround
0.2%

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